Call it a hunch, but that’s how we see it going down.

New polls conducted ahead of two Democratic primaries show the contenders in very tight races - and heading in opposite directions.

The American Research Group has Hillary Clinton at 49 percent in Wisconsin to 43 percent for Barack Obama, who previously led in the state.

Another Wisconsin poll, conducted by Madison TV station WISC, has Obama at 47 and Clinton 42, indicating the race is still too close to call.

In Texas, which votes March 4, a new CNN poll suggests a statistical dead heat, with Hillary Clinton leading only 50-48 percent.

What role, if any, the Barack Obama-Deval Patrick speechgate scandal will play today is unknown, but regardless, America’s Dairyland shapes up well for the former First Lady to end her recent losing streak.

Barack Obama should do very well in the state’s capital, Madison, which is known for its progressive politics and younger voters.

But as we know, there’s a lot more to Wisconsin than Madison.

Hillary Clinton is expected to do better in Milwaukee, the industrialized Fox River valley (Appleton and Green Bay) and in more rural areas.

This is the kind of place where Hillary’s experience - be it perceived or real - on economic issues could really deliver for her.

For these reasons, After W is predicting a win for Hillary Clinton by about 5 percent. The state’s demographics shape up well for her and she’s stepped up her campaign rhetoric a great deal in the last week.

Hawaii, which also votes today, should give Obama another decisive win. Not only is it a liberal state, but he was born and raised there!

As for the Texas primary, the recent Obama surge illustrates just how much big wins shape public opinion - and how a great deal of Democratic primary voters would gladly support either of the co-frontrunners in November.

Roughly a quarter of likely Texas primary voters say they could change their minds in the next two weeks - and not surprisingly, those people are split roughly equally between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.

The new survey also indicates Arizona Sen. John McCain is a clear choice for the GOP presidential nomination, with 55 percent of likely Texas GOP primary voters supporting him as their choice for nominee.

A still-impressive 32 percent percent back former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and 11 percent support home-state congressman Ron Paul.

McCain is looking to the Wisconsin primary as well as Washington State, which votes today on the GOP side, to quell last week’s surge by a resilient Huckabee, solidifying his position as the nominee-in-waiting.